Why Did the Horse I Backed Win or Lose

Most punters spend at least ten times as long looking at the form pre-race compared to after the race.

Before the race they’re quite prepared to spend ten minutes doing the form on every runner to work out their bets.

But then once the race has been run most punters spend between 0 and 60 seconds taking a look at the form after the race.

But this strong bias towards spending time on the pre-race analysis doesn’t make a lot of sense when you have a good think about it.  OK you can’t get any bets on after the race, but you can still learn a lot by asking yourself any number of questions such as:

  • Did I back a horse with a poor winning strike rate?
  • What was the pace race like?
  • Did it suit the on-pace horses or the back markers?
  • Did the winner come out of what now looks like a very strong form race?
  • Did any place getters have anything in common with other races later in the day?
  • Is there any noticeable track bias today?
  • Did a fancied runner have every chance and yet still perform poorly?
  • And if so. Why?
  • Were there any horses that should go straight into your black book?
  • Which jockeys are in form and riding well?
  • Which trainers have their stable firing right now?
  • Did I bet on the race just because I didn’t want to miss having a bet?

Rather than the 10:1 (or higher) ratio of pre-race to post-race analysis unwittingly employed by most punters, try to get into the habit of a 1:1 ratio instead. If you spend ten minutes doing the form and analysing the winning chances before the race, spend the same amount of time after the race looking at which horses ran well and why. I think you’d be surprised how much you’ll learn.

Detailed post-race analysis is a key factor in achieving your goal of long term punting profits.

Contact me today if you would like to have a chat about this or other punting strategies that will make money for you.

Cheers  Tim

1300 RACEBIZ  OR [email protected]